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A STATISTICAL APPRIASAL ACCIDENT RATE IN ENUGU – ONITSHA EXPRESS ROAD FROM

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A STATISTICAL APPRIASAL ACCIDENT RATE IN ENUGU – ONITSHA EXPRESS ROAD FROM

ABSTRACT

 

 

 

          The aim of this project is to analyze the appraisal of road traffic accident rate on Enugu – Onitsha Express Road.

 

The data on the number of recorded road traffic accident rate on Enugu – Onitsha Express road from 1995 – 2002 was collected and organized on quarters.

 

The trend equation was calculated from the date, which follows linear trend with the trend values, the seasonal indexes for the four seasons of the year was calculated.

 

Projection of the value and forecasting with the trend value equations and seasonal index was not left out.

 

Finally, some recommendation was made on the following observations and conclusions that drawn from the analysis.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

Approval page

 

Dedication

 

Acknowledgement

 

Abstract

 

Table of contents

 

CHAPTER ONE

 

 

  1. Introduction

 

  1. Background Of Information

 

  1. Aims And Objectives

 

  1. Scope And Limitation

CHAPTER TWO

2.1     Literature Review

 

CHAPTER THREE

 

 

  1. Research Methodology

 

  1. Method Of Data Collection

 

  1. Problems Encountered

CHAPTER FOUR

 

  1. Approach To Time Series Analysis

 

  1. Element Of Time Series

Secular t rend

Seasonal variation

 

Cyclical variation

 

Irregular variation

 

 

  1. Trend Analysis

 

  1. Finding The Linear Trend By Least Squares Method

 

  1. Measurement Of Seasonal Variation By Moving Average Method

 

  1. Estimation Of Seasonal Variation By Least Squares Method

 

  1. Adjustment Of Seasonal Variation Interpretation

 

  1. Forecasting Forecast Values For 2007

 

  1. Estimation Of Seasonal Index

CHAPTER FIVE

 

  1. Finding And Conclusion

 

  1. Recommendation

 

  1. References

A STATISTICAL APPRIASAL ACCIDENT RATE IN ENUGU – ONITSHA EXPRESS ROAD FROM

 

1995 – 2002

 

 

 

PRESENTED BY

 

 

 

NICHOLAS CHIJIOKE OGWU           SS/N2002/002

 

 

 

SUBMITTED IN THE PARTIAL FULFILLMENT O F THE REQUIRIMENT FOR AWARD OF ORDINARY NATIONAL DIPLOMAR (O.N.D.) IN THE

 

DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS

 

INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT OF TECHNOLOGY (IMT) ENUGU

 

 

 

AUGUST, 2005.

 

TITLE PAGE

 

 

 

A STATISTICAL APPRIASAL ACCIDENT RATE IN ENUGU – ONITSHA EXPRESS ROAD FROM 1995 – 2002

 

 

 

PRESENTED BY

 

NICHOLAS CHIJIOKE OGWU                            SS/N2002/002

 

 

 

          SUBMITTED IN THE PARTIAL FULFILLMENT O F THE REQUIRIMENT FOR AWARD OF ORDINARY NATIONAL DIPLOMAR (O.N.D.) IN THE

 

DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS

 

INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT OF TECHNOLOGY (IMT) ENUGU

 

 

 

AUGUST, 2005.

 

APPROVAL PAGE

 

 

          This is to declare that this project was presented by NICHOLAS CHIJIOKE OGWU. And had been read and approved by the undersigned on behalf of the school of technology (IMT) Enugu, as part of the requirement for the award of Ordinary National Diploma (OND) in the Department of Statistics.

 

 

 

 

 

…………………………………                  ………………………

 

  1. C. EZENWA DATE

 

(PROJECT SUPERVISOR)

 

 

 

…………………………………                  ………………………

 

  1. NWAGBARA DATE

 

(HEAD OF DEPARTMENT)

 

 

 

 

 

DEDICATION

 

 

          This research project is highly dedicated to the glory of the Almighty God for making it a success.

 

It is also dedicated to my parents and all who encouraged and supported me in various ways in this project.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ACKNOWELDGEMENT

 

 

          This research could not have been successful with only my efforts.

 

I wish to express my profound gratitude to God Almighty who gave me the life and wisdom also my sincere thanks go to my parents Mrs. Juliana Ogwu for their financial support and encouragement towards achieving my academic pursuit.

 

In addition, I am indebted to my project supervisor Mr. C. EZENWA, MR. GABREL UGWUANYI, MR. ASANYA, MR. G.C. OJIEMELUKWE and MR. URAMA. Who gave me very useful advice and directed the study, MR. NWAGBARA, the Head of Department and all the Lecturers in the department of statistics.  I am grateful to my project supervisor Mr. C. EZENWA for his professional guidance and patience in reading through this work and all his advice.

 

I am also particularly grateful to Enugu State Road Safety commission for they assistance and cooperation given to me during the collection of information or data.

 

My thanks go to my sisters, brothers, friends and classmates PEACE, BLESSING, PROMISE, and LUISE for making together in making learning enjoying.

 

I will give thanks to God Almighty for his grace and blessings, who remains the same yesterday, today and forever.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABSTRACT

 

 

 

          The aim of this project is to analyze the appraisal of road traffic accident rate on Enugu – Onitsha Express Road.

 

The data on the number of recorded road traffic accident rate on Enugu – Onitsha Express road from 1995 – 2002 was collected and organized on quarters.

 

The trend equation was calculated from the date, which follows linear trend with the trend values, the seasonal indexes for the four seasons of the year was calculated.

 

Projection of the value and forecasting with the trend value equations and seasonal index was not left out.

 

Finally, some recommendation was made on the following observations and conclusions that drawn from the analysis.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

Approval page

 

Dedication

 

Acknowledgement

 

Abstract

 

Table of contents

 

CHAPTER ONE

 

 

  1. Introduction

 

  1. Background Of Information

 

  1. Aims And Objectives

 

  1. Scope And Limitation

CHAPTER TWO

2.1     Literature Review

 

CHAPTER THREE

 

 

  1. Research Methodology

 

  1. Method Of Data Collection

 

  1. Problems Encountered

CHAPTER FOUR

 

  1. Approach To Time Series Analysis

 

  1. Element Of Time Series

Secular t rend

Seasonal variation

 

Cyclical variation

 

Irregular variation

 

 

  1. Trend Analysis

 

  1. Finding The Linear Trend By Least Squares Method

 

  1. Measurement Of Seasonal Variation By Moving Average Method

 

  1. Estimation Of Seasonal Variation By Least Squares Method

 

  1. Adjustment Of Seasonal Variation Interpretation

 

  1. Forecasting Forecast Values For 2007

 

  1. Estimation Of Seasonal Index

CHAPTER FIVE

 

  1. Finding And Conclusion

 

  1. Recommendation

 

  1. References
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